Atrial fibrillation after radiofrequency ablation of type I atrial flutter: time to onset, determinants, and clinical course.

BACKGROUND The occurrence of atrial fibrillation after ablation of type I atrial flutter remains an important clinical problem. To gain further insight into the pathogenesis and significance of postablation atrial fibrillation, we examined the time to onset, determinants, and clinical course of atrial fibrillation after ablation of type I flutter in a large patient cohort. METHODS AND RESULTS Of 110 consecutive patients with ablation of type I atrial flutter, atrial fibrillation was documented in 28 (25%) during a mean follow-up of 20.1+/-9.2 months (cumulative probability of 12% at 1 month, 23% at 1 year, and 30% at 2 years). Among 17 clinical and procedural variables, only a history of spontaneous atrial fibrillation (relative risk 3.9, 95% confidence intervals 1.8 to 8.8, P=0.001) and left ventricular ejection fraction <50% (relative risk 3.8, 95% confidence intervals 1.7 to 8.5, P=0.001) were significant and independent predictors of subsequent atrial fibrillation. The presence of both these characteristics identified a high-risk group with a 74% occurrence of atrial fibrillation. Patients with only 1 of these characteristics were at intermediate risk (20%), and those with neither characteristic were at lowest risk (10%). The determinants and clinical course of atrial fibrillation did not differ between an early (< or = 1 month) compared with a later onset. Atrial fibrillation was persistent and recurrent, requiring long-term therapy in 18 patients, including 12 of 19 (63%) with prior atrial fibrillation and left ventricular dysfunction. CONCLUSIONS Atrial fibrillation after type I flutter ablation is primarily determined by the presence of a preexisting structural and electrophysiological substrate. These data should be considered in planning postablation management. The persistent risk of atrial fibrillation in this population also suggests a potentially important role for atrial fibrillation as a trigger rather than a consequence of type I atrial flutter.